Ok, so NightOwl, Ceralilly, Christa, KatKwik, and Rel Mayer.
Which two are the wolves now?
I've been wanting to avoid shining a spotlight on this, because I have been very torn about both Amber and Saffron, and have wondered if I'd see signs of further innocence or guilt if I kept quiet. Now that it's so out I see no reason to stay this quiet about it, though. Everyone will be on their most careful behavior I imagine now, regardless, so I'll share my thoughts:
I'm generally not very trustworthy of people anyway who come out in blind defense of someone. The problem is that not only does it divert attention, but even if they are lynched and turn out looking innocent, that just is a good way to look innocent themselves in the aftermath. Yes, I get the "I can't give you my reason or I'll put a target on my back" argument, but.. uhm... when you say exactly that
, didn't you just put a target on your back anyway? It always sounds to me like a last ditch attempt at shaking off shade.
Beyond that, reviewing logs it's really hard for me to see Saffron's logic that Amber is being a scapegoat for wolves. She came out swinging early in different directions, and within a day she switched from Mint being awesome on the side of what is good and right
, to voting for Nightowl
, to implying she was saying she was not so suspicious of Aiden anymore, (even though he wasn't who she ever voted to lynch..?), to wanting to lynch Mint
, to agreeing
with NightOwl's points even though she recently accused him, and then implicating everyone who voted for her as potential wolves.
Is she innocent and confused so trying to attach pieces where she can? Perhaps. I really don't see the scape-goat argument at all, though: that's a lot of fingers to be pointing to not be expecting some to be pointing back.
I'm even trying to make up a story to myself where they both have inside information that has influenced the rapid changes of heart and allegiance to each other, but at Day Two I just don't see that a possible scenario; not enough time for that much extensive vetting. Even if you have somehow vetted each other it doesn't explain the wildly accusatory behavior of half the village. I'm not particularly comfortable with either of you right now.
As for the Seer AND Priest (this goes for Amber AND Vera): Isn't 'have them look at me' a bit of a redundant argument? I'm quite certain everyone on this board would say they'd welcome those attentions, EVEN the wolves and the Lycan, since it would be rather damning otherwise. Both of those are limited resources, though, and it's only to the wolves' advantage if they burn through them on confirming either the already likely innocent or already likely guilty. On top of that, one of the wolves will show as a villager anyway, so that is a 25 percent chance that a guilty party will look innocent.