I actually heard a discussion by a marine general of using "the powell doctrine" basicly tell our allies in the middle east we are ready to use force, and when (not if) they call for greater american support we move in with overwhelming military might, humiliate IS and prove their "all powerful rebuilt caliphate" idea the hollow idea it is, and just leave like we did against saddam in the first iraq war. Not sit on it, and try to occupy things, the US shows up, acts as requested by it's allies, and leaves.
In the end they are more like MS-13 or some other large gang than a nation, but there is a core of their forces formed from the former members of Saddam's republican guard.
what are your thoughts on this?
on the ukranian topic. here's what I've been able to peice together.
The Russian Federation has been using what are traditionally called in Great Game terms, false flag forces. Born in Russia, speak Russian, trained by and enlisted in the Russian military, using hardware provided by Russian arms companies with weapons shipments disguised as foreign aid, and bare no insigna on their shoulder. They also intimidate or drive off any reporters or those with cell phone cameras who they catch observing them. They form the fighting heart of the rebels, and clam to be rebels.
Ukrane is allied with the US and EU and is reaping the military benefits of being aligned with great powers. The soldiers are Ukrainian military, born in Ukraine, and bare a Ukrainian flag on their uniforms. Their equipment is American and German provided, as is their training. Their military command also has access to american satellite coverage and can see all the action on the Russian/Ukrainian border the Russian Federation doesn't want them to see.
If previous battles are anything to look at The false flag troops form the veteran core of the rebel forces, and russia provides command and control.
Basicly "rebel" forces are reliant on deception and suprise blitz attacks while ukranian forces are reliant on detecting those attacks, then stopping and counterattacking. Both sides are trying to play the good guy, and after the massive fuckup of shooting down a civilian passenger plane the "rebel" forces are loosing that propaganda war. The constant struggle and the stubborn Ukrainian resistance and refusal to submit seems to be bleeding the russian federation. That said if pushed they have a lot of blood to spend.
Spending treasure however seems to be a much more troubling issue for Moscow, the western world has cut Russia off completely from their financial institutions and are squeezing them across the international markets. Leaving china as Russia's only foreign creditor willing to not squeeze. That said China, dispite Fox's opinion that they are best friends due to being "communists" (yeah fox is bullshit
) China is more pro-china than pro-russian or pro-asia, and that will cost them in the long term.
Oil is also a large problem, russia is too dependent on it's oil industry.
I may dislike putin but he's the oldest player in the great game, this is going to be a big test for him.