So if continued voting isn't going to change anything and persuasion doesn't really work, what options are left open to the Yellow Party?
Kythia, that's the question you never answered.
Your model is inappropriate though. The issue is the one hundred per cent turnout. Elections don't have that and your argument only works because you've inserted it contra reality. Taking a more reasonable turnout of sixty six per cent the obvious action for the yellow party is to encourage people to vote.
I think everyone understood the above though, Mia. Your problem is that ceteris paribus
isn't a magic spell. You have come up with a model that supports your arguments then demanded no examination of that model is made. Anyone can do that. Within the tenants of your - once again, entirely fictional - system you are correct. Anyone can be entirely correct if they are not bound by reality of reference to the real world.
For example - and bear in mind that you are not permitted to query this in any way shape or form:
The starting conditions of the model\game are:
There is a country called Votistan.
In Votistan the people are represented in a unicameral legislature called Kongrease.
Kongrease has 10 electoral districts.
For a law to pass in Kongrease all that is required a simple majority.
The rules of Kongrease are that each district must be defined so that each district represent an equal number of people.
As the total population of Votistan is 1000, each district in Kongrease has 100 voters.
There are only two political parties in Votistan the Pink Party and the Yellow Party.
There is a 50\50 split of Pink and Yellow Party supporters in each seat.
There is 50%
turn out in all elections.
Voting is not performed in secret so everyone else knows who you voted for.
Any election that is a tie at the polls is decided on the toss of a coin.
Everyone still here? Anyone so completely confused and befuddled they've just given up and left already?
For most of Voistan's history every election had been a tie at the polls and the coin tosses had split equally as well.
This meant that the Kongrease had been split 50\50 and because Kongrease requires a majority of votes to pass a law, it has been impossible to pass any discriminatory laws.
But at one election there was a slight change and the Pink Party won 6 of the 10 coin tosses, they had an outright majority despite the popular vote being split 50\50.
The Pink Parties first act was to pass a law that altered the boundaries of the electoral districts by a tiny amount.
The redrawn boundaries meant that in 9 electoral districts the split of voters was now 51\49 in favour of the Pink Party, in district 10 the voter split was 41\59 in favour of the Yellow Party.
At the next election everyone turned out to vote as normal, but the voters couldn't understand how the Pink Party got a 9\1 majority in Kongrease. And then the same result happened at the next election and the next and the next.
Any time it looked like there was a possibility of a voter defecting from the Pink Party to the Yellow Party (and the idea that anyone would consider switching parties was considered an heretical thought by some) another law was passed in Kongrease to shift the boundaries around.
Just to be on the safe side the Pink Party passed another law so that voting districts didn't have to be of equal size anymore.
And then the Pink Party passed another law "Any changes to the voting process require a minimum of 8 votes to pass."
With me? I've only changed one thing from your model (highlighted in red) so it should be easy enough for you to follow.
In the districts where the Pink party dominate numerically, there are 24 Yellow Party supporters who don't vote. If just two of those voted they would carry the district despite being in the minority.
What is the best plan of action for the Yellow party:
1 - Keep voting as they always have. Remember they have to play with the system\rules\laws as they are, but the system\rules\laws have been changed to such an extent that they have no way of gaining enough seats in Kongrease to change anything, but as the Pink Party keep on reminding them if don't play the game and vote you can't complain about the outcome. So Yellow Party supporters should keep doing the same thing over and over and expect that the outcome will be different, but that kind of behaviour falls into AA's definition of insanity. How do you change an electoral system from within when that system is immune to change?
2- Convince people in the Pink Party to switch sides. But people voted for the Pink Party for a reason, they like the Pink Party and the Pink Party likes them back and gives them perks (via Kongrease, something call orcbarrels) for being loyal. Everyone likes to be on the winning side and the Pink Party are always the winning side, why would anyone want to join the losing side? Put simply there is no incentive for anyone to defect from the Pink Party to the Yellow Party
3 - Convince 2 of their supporters to vote.
Oh look! It's a model that shows the only logical decision is the exact opposite of the one you came up with? And, because of the magic of latin, you're not allowed to criticise the model in any way - your only option is to agree that voting makes sense and not doing is stupid.
Or, maybe, all we've shown is "if you control all the terms of the debate you can force any conclusion you like by ruling out of bounds anything that disagrees with you"