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Author Topic: Doomsday Is Here What are you're plans?  (Read 3964 times)

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Offline Lithos

Re: Doomsday Is Here What are you're plans?
« Reply #100 on: December 22, 2012, 09:30:43 AM »
Aye apophis is small pebble compared to for example what wiped out the dinosaurs but effects would definitely be global either way. We will know better what to expect after next pass. By current more refined data though it seems that it will be a miss from the keyhole.

Here is current collection of data on this rock:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/99942_Apophis
« Last Edit: December 22, 2012, 10:07:05 AM by Lithos »

Offline Devil's Advocate

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Re: Doomsday Is Here What are you're plans?
« Reply #101 on: December 22, 2012, 10:19:43 AM »
Asteroid, Apophis (click for wiki), To Hit Earth In 2036! (about 23 1/2 years from now.)

We'll get a really good look at it on Friday, April 13th, 2029 - It will dip below our orbiting satellites but just pass by us. Apophis is the size of the Rosebowl (a football stadium.) They will be able to determine at this time (maybe) if it is moved off course enough that when it passes again in 2036 if it'll hit us.

If it hits on 2036, it will hit off the pacific coast of the US and cause a 3 mile deep by 3 mile wide hole in the ocean floor. This will cause a massive series of tsunamis that will move at enormous speeds to obliterate the West Coast of North America and many island nations in the pacific (it isn't predicted to cause the same devastation in Asia or Australia regions (because of the distance.)
The Young Turks (news report)
Neil DeGrasse Tyson - Death By Giant Meteor


For those that don't watch the vids - The chances of it striking are incredibly low, and we'll see it coming for several years before it hits. Plenty of time to evacuate areas that might be affected.

Evacuation would not be the issue.  Changes to the environment would be.  But by that time my kids will be grown and I'll probably not mind if I'm not around.  :)

Offline NiceTexasGuy

Re: Doomsday Is Here What are you're plans?
« Reply #102 on: December 22, 2012, 10:35:20 AM »
I'm still not clear on this.  It looks like "We can't predict the path accurately enough to know if it's going to hit the Earth or not, but we can predict the path accurately enough to know it will hit off the coast of California."

Not that any of it matters ... my calender ends on 31 December of 2013.

Offline Lithos

Re: Doomsday Is Here What are you're plans?
« Reply #103 on: December 22, 2012, 11:31:24 AM »
We know very precisely what position of its rotation earth will be at the pass days, we know the pass time down to seconds from even basic newtonian physics, but there is always uncertainty on whether the orbit plane will be towards earth or not. the trajectories landing it on earth can have surprisingly small range so it indeed is possible to be uncertain of whether it will it yet rather certain where it would hit.

To define orbit we need to have very precise measurements from as many points in the asteroids orbit as possible, and after that need to calculate effects of other bodies it is affected by (earth, moon, sun, possibly other planets) so it all makes predictions yet a bit more complicated. The corridor we know it must travel if / when it hits the earth is rather small so the location where it will hit if it hits really is much easier to say than if it is going to hit at all.

Offline Eri Oni

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Re: Doomsday Is Here What are you're plans?
« Reply #104 on: December 22, 2012, 01:49:48 PM »
I just kind of chilled at home with my friends. You know so if something did go down we would all be together >.>



Offline Funguy81

Re: Doomsday Is Here What are you're plans?
« Reply #105 on: December 23, 2012, 07:33:15 AM »

Offline NotoriusBEN

Re: Doomsday Is Here What are you're plans?
« Reply #106 on: January 05, 2013, 04:38:28 AM »
got a hangover that friday

Ill see you all back here for Apophis in 2029.

Offline Brandon

Re: Doomsday Is Here What are you're plans?
« Reply #107 on: January 06, 2013, 02:53:20 AM »
I was going to go to a party but I got stuck behind four horsemen in traffic. God they were slow  :D

Online Callie Del Noire

Re: Doomsday Is Here What are you're plans?
« Reply #108 on: January 06, 2013, 08:12:50 AM »
I was going to go to a party but I got stuck behind four horsemen in traffic. God they were slow  :D

I was driving across three states. I think, stop at Waffle House aside, it took five hours and change to cover the 420 miles. 

Offline Oniya

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Re: Doomsday Is Here What are you're plans?
« Reply #109 on: January 06, 2013, 11:36:15 AM »
I was driving across three states. I think, stop at Waffle House aside, it took five hours and change to cover the 420 miles.

If the Waffle House is open, it can't be an apocalypse.  Those places stay open through everything!

Online Callie Del Noire

Re: Doomsday Is Here What are you're plans?
« Reply #110 on: January 06, 2013, 11:58:56 AM »
If the Waffle House is open, it can't be an apocalypse.  Those places stay open through everything!

Yeah.. well they have to feed the yuppies after the bombs drop since Twinkies are gone.